{"id":251,"date":"2025-11-24T13:49:41","date_gmt":"2025-11-24T12:49:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/belleboullc.com\/TradingJM\/?p=251"},"modified":"2025-11-24T13:49:43","modified_gmt":"2025-11-24T12:49:43","slug":"arkema-suivie-2024-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/belleboullc.com\/TradingJM\/2025\/11\/24\/arkema-suivie-2024-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Arkema suivie 2024\/2025"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" width=\"1024\" height=\"431\"  alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-252 lws-optimize-lazyload\"\/ data-src=\"https:\/\/belleboullc.com\/TradingJM\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/arkema-1024x431.png\" srcset=\"https:\/\/belleboullc.com\/TradingJM\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/arkema-1024x431.png 1024w, https:\/\/belleboullc.com\/TradingJM\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/arkema-300x126.png 300w, https:\/\/belleboullc.com\/TradingJM\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/arkema-768x323.png 768w, https:\/\/belleboullc.com\/TradingJM\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/arkema-1536x647.png 1536w, https:\/\/belleboullc.com\/TradingJM\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/arkema-2048x863.png 2048w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>A<strong>nalyse technique compl\u00e8te<\/strong> <strong> graphique<\/strong> ARKEMA, sans donn\u00e9es externes ?niveaux, fibos, S\/R, MA200, volumes, RSI\/Williams %, canaux, zones marqu\u00e9es).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h1 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\ud83d\udcc9 <strong>1. Tendance g\u00e9n\u00e9rale<\/strong><\/h1>\n\n\n\n<p>La tendance affich\u00e9e est <strong>fortement baissi\u00e8re<\/strong> depuis mi-2023 :<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Le cours est <strong>sous la MM200<\/strong> (courbe bleue), et la MM200 descend.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>La structure des prix est en <strong>lower highs \/ lower lows<\/strong>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Le prix a cass\u00e9 plusieurs zones supports (en rectangles gris).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83d\udc49 Cela confirme un <strong>biais baissier dominant<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h1 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\ud83d\udd0d <strong>2. Analyse des niveaux Fibonacci<\/strong><\/h1>\n\n\n\n<p>Votre graphique montre un retracement majeur :<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>38,2 %<\/strong> \u2248 100 \u20ac<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>50 %<\/strong> \u2248 88 \u20ac<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>61,8 %<\/strong> \u2248 76 \u20ac<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>100 %<\/strong> \u2248 ~42 \u20ac<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Ce dernier niveau <strong>100 %<\/strong> correspond exactement \u00e0 la grande fl\u00e8che jaune que vous avez plac\u00e9e.<br>C\u2019est la prochaine <strong>cible baissi\u00e8re logique<\/strong> si la cassure continue.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h1 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\ud83e\uddf1 <strong>3. Zones de support<\/strong><\/h1>\n\n\n\n<p>Vous avez marqu\u00e9 plusieurs zones (rectangles horizontaux).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u26a0\ufe0f Supports importants :<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<ol class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>52 \u2013 50 \u20ac<\/strong> : test\u00e9 actuellement \u2192 cass\u00e9 en cl\u00f4ture = risque d\u2019acc\u00e9l\u00e9ration<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>48 \u2013 46 \u20ac<\/strong> : premi\u00e8re zone d\u2019atterrissage (fl\u00e8che jaune)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>42 \u2013 40 \u20ac<\/strong> : niveau extr\u00eame (100 % du fibo)<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Le cours semble rebondir l\u00e9g\u00e8rement sur 51\/52, mais :<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Bougies faibles<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Volumes faibles<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Structure toujours en rupture<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Ce rebond para\u00eet <strong>correctif<\/strong>, pas une inversion.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h1 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\ud83d\udd3a <strong>4. R\u00e9sistances<\/strong><\/h1>\n\n\n\n<p>Deux r\u00e9sistances majeures au-dessus :<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u274c 55 \u20ac<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Cass\u00e9, et maintenant r\u00e9sistance imm\u00e9diate.<br>Fort mur.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u274c 64 \u2013 66 \u20ac<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>C\u2019est l\u00e0 que passe un ancien support devenu r\u00e9sistance + un cluster de prix.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Pour retrouver un biais haussier durable, il faudrait <strong>repasser au-dessus de la MM200<\/strong>, donc &gt; 75 \u20ac<br>\u2192 Aujourd\u2019hui, cela semble tr\u00e8s improbable \u00e0 court terme.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h1 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\ud83d\udcc9 <strong>5. Indicateurs : RSI \/ Williams %R<\/strong><\/h1>\n\n\n\n<p>Les deux indicateurs montrent :<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Survente fr\u00e9quente = tendance puissante<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Aucune divergence haussi\u00e8re notable<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Momentum tr\u00e8s n\u00e9gatif<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83d\udc49 Pas de signal de retournement interne.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h1 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\ud83d\udcca <strong>6. Volumes<\/strong><\/h1>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Les volumes baissiers dominent.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Pas de climax volume \u2192 la capitulation n\u2019a pas encore eu lieu.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h1 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\ud83e\udded <strong>7. Sc\u00e9narios probables<\/strong><\/h1>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u2714\ufe0f <strong>Sc\u00e9nario le plus probable (60\u201370%) : Poursuite baissi\u00e8re<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Le prix casse la zone 52\/50 \u20ac<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Premi\u00e8re cible : <strong>46\u201348 \u20ac<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Deuxi\u00e8me cible : <strong>42\u201340 \u20ac<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Vos fl\u00e8ches (jaune \u2192 46, rouge \u2192 40) sont coh\u00e9rentes avec cette structure.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u2757Sc\u00e9nario alternatif (30\u201340%) : rebond technique**<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Conditions n\u00e9cessaires :<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Reprise au-dessus de <strong>55 \u20ac<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Confirmation avec cl\u00f4ture > 58 \u20ac<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Objectif du rebond :<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>62 \u20ac<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>66 \u20ac<br>Mais \u00e7a reste un <strong>rebond technique<\/strong>, pas un retournement.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h1 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\ud83e\udde0 <strong>Conclusion<\/strong><\/h1>\n\n\n\n<p>Votre graphique montre une <strong>structure baissi\u00e8re parfaitement nette<\/strong> :<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Sous MM200<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Cassure des supports<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Momentum n\u00e9gatif<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Volumes faibles<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Pas de divergence<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83c\udfaf <strong>Objectifs baissiers probables : 48 puis 42 \u20ac<\/strong><br>\u26a0\ufe0f Un rebond n\u2019est possible qu\u2019au-dessus de 55\u201358 \u20ac, sinon la chute continue.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p><br><strong>Plan de trading pr\u00e9cis, structur\u00e9 et r\u00e9aliste<\/strong> bas\u00e9 sur ton graphique ARKEMA (zones, fibo, momentum, MM200, structures).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>2 strat\u00e9gies<\/strong> :<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>\ud83c\udfaf <strong>Strat\u00e9gie baissi\u00e8re (la plus probable)<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\ud83d\udd04 <strong>Strat\u00e9gie de rebond technique (moins probable, mais exploitable)<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Au choix style (swing \/ position).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h1 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u26a0\ufe0fR\u00e9sum\u00e9 de la situation technique<\/h1>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Tendance <strong>BAISSI\u00c8RE<\/strong> claire<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Cassure de supports<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Momentum n\u00e9gatif<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Objectifs bas : <strong>48 puis 42 \u20ac<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Donc <strong>priorit\u00e9 au short<\/strong> tant que la structure ne change pas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h1 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\ud83d\udfe5 SC\u00c9NARIO 1 : Trading BAISSIER (PRIORITAIRE)<\/h1>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\ud83c\udfaf Objectif du trade<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Jouer la poursuite du mouvement vers la <strong>zone 46\u201348 \u20ac<\/strong>, puis 42 \u20ac.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\ud83d\udfe1 <strong>ENTR\u00c9E id\u00e9ale<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>\u27a1\ufe0f <strong>Entre 53,50 \u20ac et 55 \u20ac<\/strong><br>= zone de pullback \/ retest du support cass\u00e9 (ancien support &gt; nouvelle r\u00e9sistance).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>C\u2019est la zone exacte sur ton graphique o\u00f9 les fl\u00e8ches blanches convergent.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\ud83d\uded1 <strong>STOP-LOSS<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>\u27a1\ufe0f <strong>59 \u20ac<\/strong><br>Pourquoi ?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>C\u2019est au-dessus du dernier sommet lower-high.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>C\u2019est au-dessus de la zone de d\u00e9ni (cassure invalid\u00e9e).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>C\u2019est sous une r\u00e9sistance majeure (64 \u20ac), donc stop serr\u00e9 mais coh\u00e9rent.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>\u2733\ufe0f Risque ma\u00eetris\u00e9 et logique structurellement.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\ud83c\udfaf <strong>TAKE-PROFIT<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<ol class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>TP1 : 48 \u20ac<\/strong><br>Premier support FIBO + zone de liquidit\u00e9 (rectangle gris).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>TP2 : 42 \u20ac<\/strong><br>100 % du retracement (voir ton graphique)<br>= target finale du mouvement.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u2696\ufe0f Gestion du trade<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>D\u00e9placer le stop \u00e0 <strong>break-even<\/strong> \u00e0 l\u2019atteinte de <strong>48 \u20ac<\/strong>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Laisser courir jusqu\u2019\u00e0 42 si momentum OK.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\ud83d\udcca Ratio risque\/rendement<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Entr\u00e9e 54 \/ Stop 59 \u2192 risque \u2248 5 \u20ac<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>TP1 : 48 \u2192 gain \u2248 6 \u20ac (RR \u2248 1:1.2)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>TP2 : 42 \u2192 gain \u2248 12 \u20ac (RR \u2248 1:2.4)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83d\udc49 <strong>Tr\u00e8s bon ratio global.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h1 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\ud83d\udfe6 SC\u00c9NARIO 2 : Rebond technique (moins probable)<\/h1>\n\n\n\n<p>Tu paries sur un rebond sp\u00e9cifique avant la reprise baissi\u00e8re.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\ud83d\udfe1 <strong>ENTR\u00c9E<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>\u27a1\ufe0f <strong>49\u201350 \u20ac<\/strong><br>Dans la zone de r\u00e9action visible chez toi (niveau \u201cpremier support\u201d).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\ud83d\uded1 <strong>STOP-LOSS<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>\u27a1\ufe0f <strong>46 \u20ac<\/strong><br>Sous la zone verte majeure \u2192 si \u00e7a casse, capitulation \u2192 invalidation totale du rebond.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\ud83c\udfaf <strong>TAKE-PROFIT<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<ol class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>TP1 : 55 \u20ac<\/strong><br>Premier mur \/ ancienne zone support.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>TP2 : 62 \u20ac<\/strong><br>Haut du range + r\u00e9sistance par structure.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\ud83d\udcca Ratio<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Entr\u00e9e 50 \/ Stop 46<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>TP1 55 \u2192 RR 1:1.25<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>TP2 62 \u2192 RR 1:3<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83d\udc49 Excellent si le rebond part, mais <strong>probabilit\u00e9 plus faible<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h1 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\ud83e\udde0 Quel sc\u00e9nario choisir ?<\/h1>\n\n\n\n<p>Je regarde ton graphique \u2192 la structure est fortement baissi\u00e8re.<br>Donc, en probabilit\u00e9s :<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Short (sc\u00e9nario 1)<\/strong> :<br>\ud83d\udd25 <strong>70% de probabilit\u00e9<\/strong><br>(tendance align\u00e9e + support cass\u00e9 + MM200 au-dessus)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Rebond (sc\u00e9nario 2)<\/strong> :<br>\ud83d\udfe1 <strong>30% de probabilit\u00e9<\/strong><br>(r\u00e9action possible mais faible momentum)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h1 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\ud83d\udccc RECOMMANDATION (la plus propre)<\/h1>\n\n\n\n<p>\u27a1\ufe0f <strong>Attendre un pullback vers 54\u201355 pour entrer short.<\/strong><br>\u27a1\ufe0f Stop 59.<br>\u27a1\ufe0f TP 48 puis 42.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>C\u2019est le trade le plus propre, le moins risqu\u00e9, et le plus logique selon ton graphique.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Analyse technique compl\u00e8te graphique ARKEMA, sans donn\u00e9es externes ?niveaux, fibos, S\/R, MA200, volumes, RSI\/Williams %, canaux, zones marqu\u00e9es). \ud83d\udcc9 1. Tendance g\u00e9n\u00e9rale La tendance affich\u00e9e est fortement baissi\u00e8re depuis mi-2023 : \ud83d\udc49 Cela confirme un biais baissier dominant. \ud83d\udd0d 2. Analyse des niveaux Fibonacci Votre graphique montre un retracement majeur : Ce dernier niveau 100 &hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":253,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4,6],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-251","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-euro-stocks","category-les-infos-divers","grid-sizer"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Arkema suivie 2024\/2025 - Bellebou llc<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/belleboullc.com\/TradingJM\/2025\/11\/24\/arkema-suivie-2024-2025\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Arkema suivie 2024\/2025 - Bellebou llc\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Analyse technique compl\u00e8te graphique ARKEMA, sans donn\u00e9es externes ?niveaux, fibos, S\/R, MA200, volumes, RSI\/Williams %, canaux, zones marqu\u00e9es). \ud83d\udcc9 1. 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